The aim of the project is to develop climate protection scenarios that describe how Germany can achieve its short, medium and long-term climate goals. The technical adjusting screws for this are largely known, the focus of the scenario development and evaluation is on
a) the remaining variants in the technical development (technical course setting such as the type and use of greenhouse gas-neutral raw materials, fuels and fuels, expansion corridors of renewable energies, type and scope of the use of natural or possibly technical sinks, etc.);
b) various design options for climate policy instruments to achieve the climate goals;
c) the different economic, social and fiscal effects of different instrument mixes, as well as their influence on the development of the final energy demand.
The aim of the project is to develop climate protection scenarios that describe how Germany can achieve its short, medium and long-term climate goals. The technical adjusting screws for this are largely known, the focus of the scenario development and evaluation is on
a) the remaining variants in the technical development (technical course setting such as the type and use of greenhouse gas-neutral raw materials, fuels and fuels, expansion corridors of renewable energies, type and scope of the use of natural or possibly technical sinks, etc.);
b) various design options for climate policy instruments to achieve the climate goals;
c) the different economic, social and fiscal effects of different instrument mixes, as well as their influence on the development of the final energy demand.
In the project, 4 target scenarios are to achieve the climate goals with different control approaches and appropriately adapted mixes of instruments:
Scenario 1 is to work with a broad mix of instruments as before, with only the standards of existing instruments being tightened to achieve the objectives.
In scenario 2, the target is achieved primarily through the emission quantities according to the German SESTA and EU-ETS, supported by accompanying instruments.
In scenario 3, the climate targets are to be achieved from 2030 onwards via a general GHG certificate price for all sectors, also supplemented by accompanying measures.
In scenario 4, the climate protection goals are to be achieved primarily by tightening the existing and additional regulatory instruments.
In addition, short studies to evaluate current climate protection policy issues are being developed.