Environment ministry launches tender for national emissions forecast study
Study contract will update national air pollutant forecasts to 2030 and identify reduction measures, shaping future compliance and monitoring needs.
Study contract will update national air pollutant forecasts to 2030 and identify reduction measures, shaping future compliance and monitoring needs.
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A new contract from Romania’s Ministry of Environment, Waters and Forests aims to redraw the country’s roadmap for cutting air pollutant emissions by 2030, updating national forecasts and setting out concrete measures to meet international commitments.
On 7th May 2026, the Ministry of Environment, Waters and Forests (Ministerul Mediului, Apelor si Padurilor) published a contract notice for services to produce a comprehensive study on national emissions. The National Emission Forecasts Study will update projections for key air pollutants and identify measures to reduce them, with a clear objective: to ensure Romania complies with its emissions reduction commitments for 2030 under international protocols.
The scope is national and strategic. Rather than focusing on a single sector or pollutant source, the study is framed around “national emission forecasts” and a portfolio of reduction measures. That implies work across energy, transport, industry, agriculture and other emitting sectors, with an eye on how different policies and technologies could influence the trajectory of pollutants over the rest of the decade.
This is not an infrastructure project but a services contract. The ministry is looking for specialist expertise to analyse current emission trends, revise existing forecasts and spell out the measures most likely to close any gap between projected emissions and Romania’s 2030 obligations. The results will shape how the country reports under international protocols and how it prioritises future interventions on air quality.
Updating national forecasts depends on solid data and the ability to combine monitoring, inventories and policy scenarios into a coherent picture. Across Europe, public bodies are going to market for precisely this mix of capabilities.
In December 2025, Lithuania’s environment project management agency, Lietuvos Respublikos aplinkos ministerijos Aplinkos projektų valdymo agentūra, launched a contract for Air Pollution Assessment Services, procuring services to assess air pollution levels nationwide for the Environmental Protection Agency. That notice underlines how national authorities increasingly rely on external service providers to run complex measurement and assessment work rather than managing it solely in-house.
Monitoring and forecasting also rest on robust information systems. In March 2026, Poland’s Chief Inspectorate for Environmental Protection, Główny Inspektorat Ochrony Środowiska, went to market for the Modification of Air Quality IT System, seeking upgrades to its JPOAT3.0 system for collecting and processing air quality data so that it complies with a new European air quality directive. That contract highlights the regulatory pressure on IT platforms that underpin national reporting.
Cities are also investing in data platforms delivered as software-as-a-service. In December 2025, the city of Munich’s IT provider, it@M, issued a notice for a Climate Data SaaS Solution, covering a city-wide licence for collecting and managing climate data and associated maintenance services. The move shows how cloud-based tools are becoming standard for managing large, complex environmental datasets.
Industrial emissions are another part of the puzzle. In January 2026, Umweltbundesamt published a notice on behalf of Bulgaria’s Ministry of Environment and Water for the BESTAL Software Implementation in Bulgaria. That project combines training and regulatory framework development to apply specialist software that improves air quality and manages industrial emissions. It reflects a shift towards integrated tools that connect monitoring, modelling and permitting.
Closer to home, Romania’s own vehicle emissions infrastructure is being upgraded. In December 2025, the national vehicle registry, REGISTRUL AUTO ROMAN - R.A., tendered for a Pollutant Emissions Laboratory Upgrade, supplying and integrating new equipment to align its laboratory with EURO 6e standards, including software upgrades. The new national study will sit alongside such investments, providing the strategic view of where emissions are heading and where regulatory or technical upgrades are most needed.
While the Romanian study is framed around compliance with international protocols, air pollution remains a public health issue as much as an environmental one. Several recent procurements point to a growing demand for analytical work that links emissions, exposure and health outcomes.
In February 2026, the Department of Health (HC) issued a contract notice for Statistical Analysis of Air Pollution and COVID-19. That project covers integrated statistical databases, models and manuscripts analysing the relationship between ambient air pollution and COVID-19 across pre-pandemic, pandemic and post-pandemic phases, with a focus on health outcomes and equity. It illustrates how detailed pollution data and forecasting support not only environmental compliance but also public health research and policy.
Cities, meanwhile, are trying to understand and manage combined pressures from air and noise pollution. In March 2026, METROPOLE NICE CÔTE D'AZUR went to market for Technical Study on Air Quality and Noise, seeking assistance and expertise for technical studies, decision support and environmental impact assessments. This kind of work relies on reliable emissions and concentration data of the type national forecasting exercises are designed to support.
Public communication is also part of the picture. In November 2025, Obshtina Ruse (Municipality of Ruse) in Bulgaria launched an Information Campaign for Air Quality, commissioning a contractor to educate the public on improving air quality and replacing solid fuel heating devices. Forecasts and emission reduction scenarios can give such campaigns a firmer evidence base, showing which changes in behaviour or technology offer the greatest impact.
The Romanian study is explicitly tied to “commitments for emissions reduction by 2030 under international protocols”. That places it in the same policy space as a series of European and international contracts focused on designing, evaluating and implementing air and climate regulation.
At European level, the European Commission’s Directorate-General for Environment has just opened a major framework. In April 2026, DG ENV published a contract notice for Support for EU Air and Noise Policies, seeking a contractor to assist with implementing and developing EU air quality and noise policies and to provide high-quality inputs across different Commission services. That framework will influence how national forecasts, including Romania’s, are interpreted and integrated into wider policy.
In March 2026, the European Commission’s Joint Research Centre signalled further investment in modelling capacity. A prior information notice for Support for Climate Modelling Services describes plans to enhance economic modelling of non-CO2 greenhouse gases, air pollutants and land-use offsets to inform climate and energy policy analysis. National emission forecast studies feed into that broader analytical landscape.
Individual countries are also examining how different policy instruments shape emissions. In December 2025, Norway’s Energidepartementet called for an independent Study on CO2 Emission Policies, assessing the impact of a CO2 tax alongside the EU emission trading system on the petroleum sector, including future oil and gas deliveries, production emissions and state income. The focus there is CO2 rather than air pollutants, but the reliance on detailed projections and scenario analysis is similar.
Legal frameworks are evolving in parallel. In April 2026, Germany’s Federal Ministry for the Environment published a notice for Legal Support for Climate Protection, covering evaluations of climate regulations and their alignment with EU law, plus legal opinions on European and national frameworks. The quality of emission forecasts will be central to such evaluations.
Beyond Europe, advisory services are being procured to support wider transitions. In April 2026, Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH tendered for GHG Mitigation Advisory Services, a multi-sectoral technical assistance contract to support a green and just transition in Latin America and the Caribbean, aligned with the EU Global Gateway Strategy. That notice underlines how demand for emissions expertise now spans continents and sectors.
The new national forecasts study joins a broader set of Romanian environmental contracts that focus on both legacy pollution and future standards. Alongside the vehicle emissions laboratory upgrade, there are efforts to address contaminated sites.
In February 2026, ADMINISTRATIA FONDULUI PENTRU MEDIU tendered for Feasibility Study and Documentation Services to update and develop the feasibility study and related documentation for the closure and remediation of a hazardous waste landfill in Dolea. The contract includes obtaining permits and supporting public procurement procedures, signalling a methodical approach to tackling historic pollution.
Together with the National Emission Forecasts Study, these notices point to a twin-track strategy: upgrading technical capacity for monitoring and remediation, while also strengthening the analytical base for decisions on future regulation and investment.
The forthcoming study will give Romania an updated view of how air pollutant emissions are likely to evolve up to 2030 and which measures could keep the country on track with its international commitments. Its findings will sit alongside a growing body of European work on monitoring systems, modelling tools and legal frameworks for air quality and climate.
For suppliers in emissions assessment, data platforms and policy analysis, the contract is another sign that public authorities are turning to external expertise to navigate complex regulatory targets. The way this study is carried out – and how its recommendations are taken up – will show how national forecasting, local action and European policy support can be made to work together in the drive for cleaner air.
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